In case you invested that the No 4 seed will be taking half in the No. 6 in the NFC Championship, your betting bankroll ought to be up substantially.
The NFC title game, featuring Matthew Stafford and the NFC West Champion Rams against NFC West rival 49ers, used to be not whom many sports actions bettors or oddsmakers believed will be the final two teams left in the conference.
Before the open up of the playoffs, the Rams were listed at odds of +475 and the 49ers at +1000 to map shut the NFC at SI Sportsbook. Simplest Arizona (+1200) and Philadelphia (+2500) were listed as bigger prolonged images than San Francisco.
Los Angeles now has the chance to became the second consecutive group to advise its conference in the Tremendous Bowl in its residence stadium. As all people is conscious of, Tom Brady and Tampa Bay change into the principle group to ever attain the feat closing season. With a victory over the 49ers, the Rams will be afforded the luxury of taking half in in Tremendous Bowl LVI in the pleasant confines of SoFi Stadium.
Los Angeles enters the NFC championship game fresh off a wild 30-27 map shut over Tampa Bay in the divisional spherical. The Rams, who improved to 14-5 straight-up (SU), are quiet entirely a pedestrian 10-9 against the unfold (ATS). Los Angeles has been a decide up investment for bettors over its closing eight games, posting a 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS tag.
San Francisco, following two consecutive side road playoff wins, is now 12-7 SU, which has helped NFL bettors turn a profit by posting a 11-8 ATS tag. The 49ers, who’re 8-3 SU and 7-4 ATS on the side road, will investigate cross-test to continue being side road warriors in the role of underdogs for the fourth consecutive game.
The 49ers get now won 9 of their closing 11 games total.
The questions bettors have to acknowledge in this matchup are straightforward: Can the 49ers, who get won six consecutive conferences against the Rams, beat Los Angeles for the third time this season? Or will Matthew Stafford’s pressure to make his first Tremendous Bowl look of his 13-365 days profession come to fruition?
In Week 18, the 49ers overcame a 17-3 halftime deficit, beating the Rams in time beyond law, 27-24, as 3.5-point side road underdogs. That map shut helped decide up the approved season sweep following San Francisco’s 31-10 victory as 3.5-point residence underdogs in Week 10.
Despite the 2 wins by the 49ers, oddsmakers get refused to make any adjustment to their energy rankings, installing Los Angeles as a 3.5-point well-liked.
Spread: San Francisco +3.5 (-110) | Los Angeles -3.5 (-110)
Moneyline: San Francisco (+155) | Los Angeles (-188)
Total: 46 – Over (-110) | Below 46 (-110)
Public (Spread) Making a guess Percentages: SF 53% | LAR 47%
Game Files: Sunday, Jan. 30, 2022 | 6: 30 p.m ET | FOX
Editor’s Gift – Odds are self-discipline to alternate
The line has held staunch as a result of opener of Los Angeles (14-5 SU; 10-9 ATS) as 3.5-point residence favorites over San Francisco (12-7 SU; 11-8 ATS) at SI Sportsbook. The total, which opened at 47, has dropped to 46 following decide up public and revered cash backing the under. Within the 2 approved season conferences, the 2 clubs averaged a blended 46 facets, which has resulted in a 1-1 tag in full wagering.
It ought to be neatly-known that it took 10 facets in the final 2: 29 of law plus time beyond law in Week 18 for the second meeting to lunge over the posted full of 47.
Rumors swirled before closing week’s divisional spherical game that injuries to both Jimmy Garoppolo’s thumb and shoulder were significantly worse than the club used to be revealing. If we lunge strictly by the numbers, the trace caller threw for a season-low 131 passing yards. In actuality, Garoppolo has thrown extra interceptions (2) than touchdowns (0) in the playoffs. The 49ers, who failed to attain an offensive touchdown, were bailed out by their particular teams, which recorded a blocked punt that used to be returned for a touchdown leisurely in the fourth quarter. Despite the proven truth that he has shown toughness taking half in thru his injuries, San Francisco will not come to Tremendous Bowl LVI if it doesn’t receive decide up manufacturing from its noteworthy-maligned trace caller.
The 49ers’ offensive assault specializes in decide up working quantity by several succesful abilities. Elijah Mitchell leads the group with 149 speeding yards and a touchdown in the postseason. The rising rookie has averaged 88 speeding yards in the 2 conferences with a Los Angeles defense that has stepped up its play in the playoffs, maintaining Tampa Bay to beautiful 51 speeding yards and Arizona to 61 speeding yards.
Deebo Samuel’s lore continues to develop with every passing game.
San Francisco’s versatile expertise continues to one-man offensive existing, accruing 111 speeding yards and a touchdown while also main the club in receptions (6) and receiving yards (82) in two playoff side road victories.
Within the passing assault, Samuel is joined by star tight stop George Kittle.
The lunge-catching tight stop, who produced astronomical manufacturing in Weeks 13-15, averaging 8.3 receptions and 141.6 receiving yards, has failed to attain in six straight games. Kittle, who posted his most receiving yards (63) since Week 15 in the Divisional spherical, has 12 receptions for 132 receiving yards over his closing 5 games blended.
In two games against the Rams this season, Kittle ha d10 receptions for 60 yards and a touchdown. Upon a deeper dive, we survey that Los Angeles has been stingy against tight ends, entirely allowing four touchdowns to the region all season. The closing opposing tight stop to attain a touchdown against Los Angeles used to be Kittle in Week 10.
Matthew Stafford has been outstanding in the Rams’ two playoff wins, completing 74.5% of his passes with a 4:0 interception-to-touchdown ratio. Stafford, who performed third in the NFL in passing yards (4,886) and second in passing touchdowns (41), has also added two speeding rankings in the postseason after not scoring any in the approved season. On Sunday, the previous will face a San Francisco defense that has surrendered the sixth-fewest passing yards per game (206.5). Within the 2 conferences with the 49ers, Stafford struggled with ball safety, throwing four interceptions.
Cooper Kupp, who led all wideouts in the approved season in receptions (145), receiving yards (1,947) and receiving touchdowns (16), has not let up in the postseason. Kupp leads all avid gamers in the postseason with 244 receiving off a group-high 14 receptions in two games. None of his receptions were any bigger than his 44-yard salvage with entirely 27 seconds last to space up the sport-winning self-discipline purpose over Tampa Bay.
Within the playoffs, Odell Beckham Jr. and tight stop Tyler Higbee change into integral weapons for Stafford in the passing assault. Beckham, who has caught a touchdown in six of 10 games since being bought from the Browns, is averaging 12.3 yards per reception in the 2 playoff wins.
The Rams’ speeding assault, which got a big boost from the return of Cam Akers (Achilles) in the wild card map shut over Arizona, had serious issues closing week against the Buccaneers. The second-365 days standout from Florida Say fumbled twice and practically rate the Rams their opportunity to play in the NFC championship game. The Rams will need the tandem of Akers and former Sony Michel to again take care of the Los Angeles offense balanced Sunday against a gargantuan San Francisco flee defense that has not allowed an opponent to scurry for added than 79 yards in seven consecutive games.
The Rams investigate cross-test admire a group of destiny, nonetheless since 2019 San Francisco is 11-4 ATS as side road underdogs and amazingly has posted a 10-5 SU tag at plus-odds. As correctly as, the 49ers are 7-3 both SU and ATS in their closing 10 games against the Rams, including six consecutive wins over their bitter rival.
Nonetheless, as all people is conscious of, it is terribly onerous to beat a group thrice in a single season.
If the Rams can elevate care of the football and force Garoppolo to beat them, they ought to be taking half in in Tremendous Bowl LVI in their residence stadium.
Respected cash has up to now refrained from this game in regards to a straight-up play on the side. As an different, they get got targeted the total. Within the closing six games, the 2 foes get performed four of six to the under and if not for the time beyond law length in Week 18 that number will be 5 of six. The total, which opened at 47, has already begun to dip, nonetheless it be quiet at a playable number so let’s over again apply their lead.
BET: UNDER 46 (-110)
SI BET REVIEW
For the second consecutive week, revered performs on NFL Playoff wagering didn’t find off to a real open up. Divisional weekend commenced with the Titans (-3) not being in a region to overcome three interceptions by Ryan Tannehill against the Bengals, while the Packers (-5) downhearted particular teams play prevented the club from beating the 49ers. My weekend closed out decide up because the Rams (+3) held on to defeat the Buccaneers followed by my teaser play interesting Los Angeles (+10) blended with Buffalo (+9) cashing with ease. As correctly as, my lock prayer proposition wager of the weekend interesting Matthew Stafford and Josh Allen every throwing extra than 1.5 touchdowns (+143) came thru in smashing vogue.
2021 SI Making a guess Monday Night Football: 9-8 ATS / Props 16-12 +5.75 objects
2021 SI Making a guess Playoffs: 5-5-1 ATS / Props +0.70 objects
2021 SI Making a guess NFL Football Overall YTD: 50-42-1 ATS & Props +11.02 objects
2020 SI Making a guess NFL Football: 72-58-1 ATS (55%)
Frankie Taddeo is a successful high-stakes delusion football player who created the principle-ever DFS program ever offered in a Las Vegas sportsbook. Frankie is SI Making a guess’s Senior Analyst who affords his main expertise and property in the sports actions betting scene. You would possibly perhaps perhaps furthermore apply Frankie on Twitter @Frankie_Fantasy for his most up-to-date betting and delusion insights from Las Vegas.
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